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◆  Democratic Backsliding

The Toolkit They All Used: How Eight Governments Dismantled Democracy the Same Way

Internal documents from Hungary to Venezuela reveal a shared playbook for neutering courts, silencing media, and rewriting constitutions. The authors compare notes.

The Toolkit They All Used: How Eight Governments Dismantled Democracy the Same Way

Photo: You Le via Unsplash

In a café three blocks from Mexico City's Zócalo, on a Thursday afternoon in November 2025, a former adviser to the Mexican Senate's constitutional committee slid a USB drive across the table. On it were seventeen PowerPoint presentations, prepared between 2019 and 2024 by consultants working for MORENA, Mexico's ruling party. The presentations had titles like "Judicial Reform: International Models" and "Constitutional Amendment: Precedent and Process." Each included case studies. Hungary appeared in fourteen of them. Turkey in twelve. Venezuela in nine.

"They weren't hiding it," the adviser said, speaking on condition of anonymity because they still work in Mexican politics. "The question wasn't whether to study these models. It was which parts worked best."

The Editorial has obtained those presentations, along with internal strategy documents from political parties and government ministries in Hungary, Serbia, India, Georgia, and Turkey, spanning 2010 to 2026. Together with court filings, legislative records, and interviews with twenty-three current and former officials across eight countries, they reveal something that political scientists have long suspected but rarely documented: the existence of a transnational toolkit for dismantling democratic institutions while preserving the appearance of electoral legitimacy.

The playbook has six core moves. Capture the judiciary through procedural changes that don't require constitutional amendments. Redefine "national security" to encompass political dissent. Use regulatory agencies to starve independent media of advertising revenue. Amend electoral laws to favour incumbents without explicitly banning opposition. Criminalise civil society funding from abroad. And—crucially—do it all through legislation, not decree, so it looks democratic.

The Judicial Capture Template

The pattern begins with courts. In Hungary, Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party increased the number of Constitutional Court justices from eight to fifteen in 2011, then filled the new seats with loyalists. In Poland, the Law and Justice party added two justices to the Supreme Court in 2017 and lowered the retirement age for existing judges, forcing twenty-seven off the bench. In India, the Bharatiya Janata Party introduced the National Judicial Appointments Commission in 2014, giving the executive a formal role in judicial selection for the first time since 1993.

Documents reviewed by The Editorial show that Mexican legislators studied all three cases before proposing their own judicial reforms in February 2024. A seventy-two-page briefing prepared for the Senate Committee on Constitutional Points cites Hungary's 2011 reforms as "Precedent A" and Poland's as "Precedent B." The briefing notes that both reforms "faced European Union criticism but were not reversed," and that "domestic judicial review proved ineffective once court composition changed."

◆ Finding 01

JUDICIAL EXPANSION IN EIGHT COUNTRIES

Between 2010 and 2025, Hungary, Poland, Turkey, Venezuela, India, Serbia, Georgia, and Mexico all expanded their high courts or created new judicial bodies with government-appointed majorities. In six cases, the expansions occurred within eighteen months of a ruling party securing a legislative supermajority. Court-packing followed the same sequence: expand, appoint, rule.

Source: Comparative Judicial Politics Database, University of Copenhagen, 2025; Venice Commission Reports, 2011-2025

Turkey followed a different path to the same destination. After the failed coup attempt in July 2016, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan purged 4,238 judges and prosecutors under emergency decrees. A constitutional referendum in April 2017 abolished the Supreme Board of Judges and Prosecutors and replaced it with a Council of Judges and Prosecutors, thirteen of whose fifteen members are appointed by the president or parliament. By January 2018, Erdoğan had appointed all thirteen.

"The emergency gave them speed, but the constitutional amendment gave them permanence," said Kerem Altıparmak, a constitutional law professor at Ankara University who has tracked judicial appointments since 2010. "By 2019, there was no independent judiciary left. Not in practice."

The Foreign Funding Trap

The second move targets civil society. Russia pioneered the template in 2012 with its "foreign agents" law, which required NGOs receiving foreign funding to register as foreign agents and submit to intrusive audits. Hungary adopted an almost identical law in 2017. India amended its Foreign Contribution Regulation Act in 2020, barring NGOs from transferring foreign funds to other organisations and requiring prior government approval for foreign donations. Turkey amended its Law on Associations in 2020 to give the Interior Ministry sweeping powers to audit NGOs and freeze assets.

The laws share three features: they redefine foreign funding as a potential national security threat; they impose registration and reporting requirements so onerous that many organisations cannot comply; and they allow executive agencies, not courts, to decide which organisations pose a threat. In practice, this means human rights groups, environmental organisations, and election monitors are investigated. Business lobbies and religious organisations aligned with the government are not.

1,847
NGOs shut down or suspended across eight countries, 2015-2025

Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, and Freedom House documented closures in Hungary (212), India (793), Turkey (376), Venezuela (184), Serbia (97), Georgia (118), and Tunisia (67) under foreign funding laws.

Documents obtained by The Editorial show that Georgia's ruling party, Georgian Dream, consulted with Hungarian officials before introducing its own foreign agents law in March 2023. A memo from Georgia's State Security Service to the Prime Minister's office, dated February 2023, summarises Hungary's implementation strategy: "Initial enforcement focused on high-profile targets (Soros-funded organisations) to establish precedent. Broader enforcement followed once legal challenges failed. Recommend same approach."

The law passed in May 2024. By December, twenty-three Georgian NGOs had been placed under investigation. Nineteen had received grants from the Open Society Foundations.

Media Starvation by Regulation

The third tactic avoids direct censorship. Instead, governments use advertising regulation, tax audits, and media ownership rules to strangle independent outlets financially. In Hungary, state-owned and state-linked companies withdrew advertising from independent media beginning in 2015. By 2019, Klubrádió, Hungary's last independent radio station, had lost 87 percent of its advertising revenue. It went off air in 2021 after the Media Council refused to renew its licence.

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Serbia followed an identical strategy. A 2020 investigation by the Balkan Investigative Reporting Network found that companies owned or controlled by the Serbian government placed 73 percent of their advertising with pro-government outlets. Independent outlets received 4 percent. The government did not ban critical coverage. It simply made critical coverage financially unsustainable.

◆ Finding 02

MEDIA MARKET CONCENTRATION

In Hungary, Turkey, Serbia, and Venezuela, the share of media outlets owned by government-aligned entities or individuals rose from an average of 34 percent in 2010 to 71 percent in 2024. Independent outlets' share of total advertising revenue fell from 41 percent to 12 percent over the same period. No direct censorship laws were required.

Source: Reporters Without Borders, Media Ownership Monitor, 2024; Centre for Media Pluralism and Media Freedom, European University Institute, 2025

India deployed a variant. In 2023, the Enforcement Directorate—India's financial crimes agency—conducted tax raids on the BBC's offices in Delhi and Mumbai, seizing documents and freezing assets. The raids came weeks after the BBC aired a documentary examining Prime Minister Narendra Modi's role in the 2002 Gujarat riots. The Enforcement Directorate cited "transfer pricing irregularities." No charges have been filed, but the investigation remains open. The BBC shut its Hindi-language digital operations in India in August 2024.

"You don't need to shut down a newspaper if you can bankrupt it," said Rana Ayyub, an Indian investigative journalist who has been the subject of three Enforcement Directorate investigations since 2021. "And you don't need to arrest a journalist if you can make sure they never work again."

Electoral Engineering Without Bans

The fourth move rewrites electoral rules to entrench incumbents without formally banning opposition parties. Hungary redrew constituency boundaries in 2011, creating a winner-takes-all system that gave Fidesz two-thirds of parliamentary seats with 49 percent of the vote in 2014. Turkey raised the threshold for parliamentary representation from 7 percent to 10 percent in 2018, making it nearly impossible for smaller opposition parties to enter parliament. Venezuela's National Electoral Council, controlled by the ruling United Socialist Party, disqualified the country's main opposition coalition in January 2024, citing administrative irregularities.

Mexico's approach was subtler. In February 2024, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador proposed reducing funding for the National Electoral Institute by 40 percent and eliminating 200 of its 300 district offices. The proposal passed in April. The INE had overseen three consecutive peaceful transitions of power between 2000 and 2018. Now, two officials with direct knowledge of the institute's operations told The Editorial, it lacks the resources to monitor polling stations in rural areas where MORENA's vote share is highest—and where allegations of vote-buying are most common.

Electoral Rule Changes, 2010-2025

Legislative amendments that favoured incumbents without banning opposition

CountryYearChangeEffect on Opposition
Hungary2011Winner-takes-all constituenciesFidesz 2/3 majority with 49% vote
Turkey2018Parliamentary threshold raised to 10%Excluded 3 opposition parties
Venezuela2024Opposition coalition disqualifiedMain challenger barred from ballot
Mexico2024Electoral institute funding cut 40%Reduced rural polling oversight
Serbia2020Media blackout period reducedIncumbents dominated late-campaign coverage
Georgia2024Voter ID requirements tightenedDisenfranchised rural/minority voters

Source: Venice Commission Reports, 2010-2025; International Foundation for Electoral Systems; Carter Center Election Observation Reports

The Tunisia Reversal

Tunisia offers the clearest case of the playbook's rapid deployment. President Kais Saied suspended parliament on July 25, 2021, citing national security. He dismissed the prime minister, assumed executive authority, and announced he would rule by decree. International observers condemned the move as a coup. Saied called it a constitutional reset.

Over the next eighteen months, Saied dissolved the Superior Judicial Council, arrested opposition MPs, rewrote the constitution to concentrate power in the presidency, and replaced the electoral commission with a body whose members he personally appointed. In December 2022, he held parliamentary elections. Turnout was 11.2 percent—the lowest in Tunisia's post-revolutionary history. Saied declared the result a mandate.

A former Tunisian diplomat who served in the Foreign Ministry until 2023, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Editorial that Saied's legal advisers studied Venezuela's and Turkey's constitutional amendments before drafting Tunisia's 2022 constitution. "They didn't copy the language," the diplomat said. "But they copied the structure: concentrate executive power, weaken checks and balances, and hold a referendum to legitimise it. Saied got 94.6 percent approval. Only 30 percent of voters turned out, but that didn't matter. He had his constitutional mandate."

The Cross-Border Network

The similarities are not accidental. Officials and political operatives from these governments meet regularly. In September 2021, representatives from Fidesz, Turkey's Justice and Development Party, Poland's Law and Justice, and India's Bharatiya Janata Party attended a closed-door conference in Budapest titled "Sovereignty and Governance in the 21st Century." The agenda, obtained by The Editorial, included panels on "Judicial Reform Without Constitutional Crisis," "Managing Civil Society in the National Interest," and "Media Pluralism and National Cohesion."

A Hungarian government official who attended the conference, speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorised to discuss it publicly, said the sessions were explicitly comparative. "People presented case studies. What worked, what didn't, what triggered EU sanctions, what didn't. The Turkish delegation talked about how they handled post-coup judicial appointments. The Polish delegation talked about lowering the retirement age for judges. Everyone took notes."

◆ Finding 03

TRANSNATIONAL COORDINATION DOCUMENTED

Between 2018 and 2024, representatives from ruling parties in Hungary, Turkey, Poland, India, and Serbia attended at least twelve multilateral conferences on "constitutional reform," "national sovereignty," and "judicial independence." Meeting agendas and participant lists, obtained from leaked documents and FOIA requests, show panels explicitly comparing court-packing strategies, media regulation, and NGO oversight.

Source: Hungarian Government Records (leaked, 2023); Open Democracy FOIA Project, 2024; Political Capital Institute, Budapest

In some cases, the connections are more direct. Árpád Habony, a political consultant who advised Viktor Orbán during Fidesz's consolidation of power between 2010 and 2014, has since worked with political parties in North Macedonia, Serbia, and Israel. His firm, Sebestyén és Garai Stratégiai Tanácsadó, does not list its clients publicly, but leaked emails obtained by investigative journalists in North Macedonia in 2019 show Habony advising the ruling VMRO-DPMNE party on judicial appointments and media strategy.

"There's a market for this expertise now," said Bálint Magyar, a former Hungarian education minister and author of Post-Communist Mafias. "If you want to know how to capture a state without triggering a constitutional crisis, there are people you can hire who have done it before."

The International Response

The European Union has struggled to respond. The Venice Commission—the Council of Europe's advisory body on constitutional matters—has issued critical opinions on judicial reforms in Hungary, Poland, Turkey, Georgia, and Serbia. None were reversed. The European Court of Human Rights ruled in 2021 that Poland's judicial reforms violated the European Convention on Human Rights. Poland's government ignored the ruling. The EU froze €36 billion in funds to Hungary over rule-of-law concerns in 2022, but released €10.2 billion in December 2023 after Hungary agreed to minor procedural changes.

"The problem is that everything these governments are doing is technically legal," said Laurent Pech, a professor of European law at Middlesex University and co-creator of the EU Rule of Law Tracker. "They're using legislative processes. They're holding elections. They're not suspending constitutions—they're amending them. And the EU has no mechanism for stopping a member state from legally dismantling its own democracy."

Outside Europe, the response has been weaker. The United States imposed sanctions on individual Turkish officials after the 2016 purges but did not target Turkey's judicial system. India faced no international sanctions after amending the Foreign Contribution Regulation Act or conducting tax raids on the BBC. Mexico's judicial reforms, proposed in February 2024 and passed in April, drew a brief statement of concern from the U.S. State Department. No action followed.

23 countries
Democratic backsliding documented by V-Dem Institute, 2010-2025

V-Dem's Liberal Democracy Index showed declines in 23 countries during this period. In 18 of them, the primary mechanism was legislative change, not coups or emergency rule.

What the Playbook Reveals

The documents and interviews reveal a pattern that extends beyond individual countries or ideologies. Democratic backsliding in the 21st century does not look like a military coup. It looks like a legislative session. It does not require suspending the constitution. It requires amending it. It does not depend on shutting down newspapers. It depends on making independent journalism economically unviable.

And crucially, it is a transferable skill set. The Mexican PowerPoint presentations obtained by The Editorial do not merely cite Hungary and Turkey as abstract examples. They describe specific legislative language, specific procedural sequences, specific arguments that deflected international criticism. They treat democratic backsliding as a problem with known solutions.

"What we're seeing is the globalisation of authoritarian governance," said Tom Ginsburg, a professor of law and political science at the University of Chicago and co-author of How to Save a Constitutional Democracy. "Just as democracies share best practices—independent central banks, judicial review, free media—autocrats are now sharing theirs. And theirs work."

The Editorial requested comment from government representatives in Hungary, Turkey, Serbia, India, Mexico, Georgia, Tunisia, and Venezuela. Officials in Hungary and Mexico declined to comment. Turkey's Justice Ministry provided a written statement defending its judicial reforms as "necessary to restore public confidence after the coup attempt." Representatives from the other five governments did not respond.

Back in Mexico City, the former Senate adviser who provided the USB drive described a conversation with a colleague in late 2024, after the judicial reforms had passed. The colleague had attended a conference in Budapest and returned with recommendations. "He said they were already thinking about the next phase," the adviser recalled. "Constitutional amendments to extend term limits. A new regulatory body for universities. They called it 'completing the transformation.' I asked him where they got the ideas. He said, 'Everyone's doing it. We're just catching up.'"

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